Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring's content profile, based on 38 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Mathlin, G.; Cooper, C.; Teoh, L.; Mukadam, N.; Banerjee, S.; Birks, Y.; Demnitz-King, H.; Hunter, R.
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Background: People affected by dementia experience intersecting care inequalities. We explored relationships between ethnicity and health and social care resource use among people with dementia in an ethnically diverse urban region. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study using Discover-NOW, including patients with dementia between 1.4.2015 and 1.4.2025. We calculated ethnic density as the percentage of the Middle Layer Super Output Area (SOA) population self-identifying with the same ethnic group. Regression models, clustered by Local SOA, tested whether ethnic density moderated relationships between ethnicity and primary care, outpatient, inpatient, emergency and social care service use, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics, deprivation, comorbidities and time of diagnosis. Findings: We included 30,704 people with dementia. People from Black and Mixed ethnic groups used more primary care, and those from Asian ethnic groups less primary and secondary care, than White ethnic groups. Rates of local authority social care packages were similar across ethnic groups. High ethnic density predicted fewer GP consultations in Black ethnic groups, but more in South Asian groups. Interpretation: Among Black ethnic groups, primary care use was relatively high, especially in areas of low ethnic density, perhaps reflecting greater needs among communities at risk of racism and isolation. The trend towards increased primary care use among South Asian people in areas of higher ethnic density may reflect communities mitigating help-seeking hesitancy related to cultural and language barriers. Greater care integration could reduce care inequalities among minority ethnic communities who may experience fewer barriers to social relative to health care.
Woods, D. L.; Hall, K.; Jaramillo, I.; Blank, M.; Geraci, K.; Boghassian, A.; Pebler, P.
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Objective. Figure copy and recall tests are sensitive measures of visuoconstruction and visual episodic memory, but their clinical is constrained by labor-intensive manual scoring. We developed and validated an automated, element-level scoring pipeline using Vertex AI object detection for the tablet-based figure copy and recall tasks in the California Cognitive Assessment Battery (CCAB). The automated scoring pipeline duplicated the scoring procedures used by expert manual raters. Methods. A normative sample of 2,011 community-dwelling adults aged 18-90 completed figure copy and delayed recall trials at baseline, with subsamples retested at 1 day and at 6, 18, and 30 months. Participants completed the drawings with their index finger on a tablet computer with finger position digitized to analyze the speed and timing of individual drawing strokes A convolutional object-detection model trained on the Vertex AI AutoML Vision platform identified each of twelve canonical figure elements in rendered drawings. Separate element presence and location scores were computed after homographically warping drawings onto a canonical template to produce trial-level Element, Location, and Total scores. To compare Vertex and human scores, Vertex AI and expert human raters independently scored 1500 randomly selected drawings to evaluate inter-rater agreement, including a common subset of 100 drawings scored by Vertex AI and all raters. Results. Total scores were virtually indistinguishable (r = 0.966) from human-human agreement (mean r = 0.971) as were Element presence scores (mean r = 0.959 vs. r = 0.963). Location-score agreement (r = 0.951) was slightly below the human-human mean (r = 0.972) due to pixel-level analysis by Vertex AI that was impossible for human raters. The Vertex pipeline showed no preferential advantage for the single expert rater who categorized Elements during training. Automated scores showed strong demographic gradients, age effects on Recall (r = -0.32) were approximately twice those in Copy conditions (r = -0.16). A Memory Cost score (Recall - Copy) showed a monotonic age-related decline from +0.40 z in the youngest subjects to -0.54 z in the oldest. Kinetic analysis revealed that drawing speed and efficiency showed significant age-related changes. Overnight test-retest reliability was high (Recall r = 0.72) and the Recall trial showed a large overnight learning effect ({Delta} = +1.18) that continued with repeated tests up to 30 months ({Delta} = +0.75).
Juhasz, J.; DeFeis, B.; Britton, M. K.; Hoogerwoerd, H.; Worwag, K.; Johnson, K. J.; Uribe, A.; Williamson, J. B.; Porges, E. C.; Cohen, R. A.
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Introduction: Brain-predicted age, estimated from structural MRI data, is a machine-learning biomarker of biological brain aging. Greater brain age gap (BAG) indicates advanced brain aging and is associated with cognitive decline and mortality. Cardiometabolic risk factors, including elevated blood glucose, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, and cholesterol, increase risk of cognitive impairment and dementia in aging. Their relationship with BAG in severe obesity remains poorly characterized despite increased prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors among this population. Methods: T1-weighted MRI data from 97 adults (BMI 35-73) were used to calculate BAG using ENIGMA and Pyment brain age models. Associations between BAG and HbA1c, BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were examined using multiple linear regression and MM-estimation robust regression, adjusting for age, sex, and race. Post hoc analyses stratified models by clinical HbA1c cutoffs (normoglycemic, prediabetic, diabetic). Results: Higher HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 1.58, p = .014) and BAGPyment (B = 0.93, p = .013) in linear regression models. In robust models, HbA1c remained significantly associated with BAGENIGMA (B = 1.70, p = .002) but not BAGPyment (B = 0.71, p = .13). BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were not associated with BAG in either linear or robust models. HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 2.15, p = .01) and BAGPyment (B =1.21, p = .04) in those at or above prediabetic levels and with BAGENIGMA (B = 2.49, p = .047) in those with diabetes. Conclusions: Elevated HbA1c is associated with accelerated brain aging in individuals with severe obesity. BAG was not associated with BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia, which may reflect the restricted BMI range inherent to the sample with severe obesity.
Gonzales, M.; Kang, X.; Adamson, M. M.; Chao, S. Z.; Yoon, B. C.
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PURPOSE: Alzheimer disease (AD) is associated with cognitive impairment, brain atrophy, and elevated amyloid-beta and tau. The study aimed to characterize regional atrophy associated with elevated amyloid-beta and tau, as measured by [18F]florbetapir (FBP) and [18F]flortaucipir (FTP) positron emission tomography (PET), respectively, and determine whether combining PET and atrophy data improves the prediction of cognitive impairment. METHODS: Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative data (n = 381) were retrospectively analyzed. PET results were correlated with cortical thickness, gray matter (GM) volumes, Mini-Mental State Examination, and Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Linear/logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate for significant correlations and compare performances in distinguishing cognitive impairment, respectively. RESULTS: Incremental loss of cortical thickness and GM volume was observed from FBP-/FTP- (n = 205) to single PET-positive (FBP+/FTP-, n = 133; FBP-/FTP+, n = 5) and FBP+/FTP+ (n = 38) groups, particularly in the temporal and parietal lobes. FBP+/FTP+ showed the most severe cortical thickness loss in the entorhinal cortex, temporal lobe GM atrophy, and cognitive impairment. Adding brain atrophy as the third variable resulted in higher odds ratios and improved AUCs for cognitive impairment, with FBP+/FTP+/temporal GM or entorhinal cortical atrophy+ demonstrating the strongest associations with cognitive impairment. CONCLUSION: A multimodal approach combining PET and MRI may help improve the assessment of cognitive impairment in AD.
Forbes, M.; Lotfaliany, M.; Miteku, B. M.; Yu, C.; Lacaze, P.; Isvoranu, A.-M.; Kang, M.; Nguyen, T.; Woods, R.; McNeil, J.; Neumann, J.; Mohebbi, M.; Berk, M.
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Background Low-level systemic inflammation has been associated with late-life depressive symptoms. Whether individuals with higher inflammation derive preventive benefit from low-dose aspirin therapy is unknown. Methods We performed a post-hoc analysis of the ASPiring in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Baseline C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was measured in plasma and depressive symptoms were assessed annually using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression 10 Scale with elevated symptoms defined as CES-D-10 >= 8. Participants with elevated depressive symptoms at baseline were excluded. We fitted population-averaged logistic generalised estimating equation models adjusted for baseline sociodemographic and lifestyle covariates, including an hsCRP x treatment interaction to test effect modification by aspirin. Results Higher baseline hsCRP was associated with increased odds of elevated depressive symptoms during follow-up (OR 1.07 per SD increase in hsCRP, 95% CI 1.03-1.11). Low-dose aspirin allocation did not modify the hsCRP-depressive symptoms association (interaction OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94-1.10). Findings were similar after additional adjustment for comorbidity and other covariates. Conclusions In community-dwelling older adults during the ASPREE randomised trial period, higher baseline hsCRP was modestly associated with elevated depressive symptoms. There was no evidence that low-dose aspirin was associated with reduced risk of depressive symptoms among participants with higher baseline inflammation.
Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [≥] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [≥] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.
Mirea Conley, E.; Bell, G.; Fountain, J.; Cadar, D.; Tabet, N.; Bosco, A.
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Background: In the UK, over 36 million contacts are made annually by people living with dementia (PLWD) to either primary or secondary community mental health services. As dementia progresses, PLWD may experience increased distress and resort to 999 calls for an ambulance, which may in turn result in conveyance to Accident & Emergency (A&E). Nearly 1 million A&E attendances are made by PLWD. This trend is set to rise sharply as the prevalence rates of dementia increase over time and as the condition progresses, with associated healthcare costs impacting overall care delivery. This may lead to reduced resource allocation for dementia emergency services, negatively affecting the experiences of both providers and service users. Aim(s): To explore ways to improve access and quality of care to emergency crisis care for PLWD from the perspective of healthcare staff providing this type of support. Methods: This qualitative study explored (1) the experiences, resources, and needs of healthcare professionals in emergency and community settings to support access for PLWD, and (2) the mechanisms influencing dementia crisis response. The COREQ Checklist was used to improve transparency, credibility, and reproducibility. Inter-rater reliability was calculated. PPIE contributors co-developed recommendations for healthcare professionals, and study findings informed a comic-based dissemination resource shared with third-sector organisations to support community awareness and engagement. Results: Fifteen interviews were held with emergency services staff. Inter-rater reliability was substantial between two raters (k = 0.62). Four overarching themes, with associated subthemes, were identified relating to crisis care delivery, barriers to effective response, and strategies employed to address these challenges. Additional themes captured decision-making processes at key points in the care pathway, including initial crisis response, during intervention, and at discharge from emergency and community services. Decision-making was characterised by the need to balance patient safety with autonomy in determining care in the best interests of PLWD and their informal carers. Discussion: This exploratory study reveals frontline staff perspectives on challenges and actionable strategies for dementia crisis care. Findings support targeted service improvements, cross-sector collaboration, and co-produced resources to enhance outcomes for PLWD and their informal carers.
Williams, M.; Arrotta, K.; Bangen, K. J.; Reyes, A.; Stasenko, A.; Zawar, I.; Punia, V.; Wang, I.; Shin, W.; Su, T.-Y.; Shih, J. J.; Farid, N.; Kapur, J.; Struck, A. F.; Bekris, L. M.; Ferguson, L.; Almane, D. N.; Jones, J. E.; Hermann, B. P.; Busch, R. M.; McDonald, C. R.; for the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative*,
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Background and Objectives: Older adults with epilepsy are at increased risk for Alzheimer's disease (AD), yet the mechanisms underlying this association remain poorly understood. We applied a validated AD neuroimaging signature to older adults with epilepsy to examine 1) whether older adults with epilepsy mirror AD-related changes, 2) associations with clinical, cognitive, and plasma biomarker outcomes, and 3) utility for identifying subgroups at heightened risk for cognitive decline. Our multicenter, prospectively enrolled cohort allowed for direct examination of differences in AD signatures between those with early-onset and late-onset unexplained epilepsy. Methods: Participants included 449 older adults: 87 with focal epilepsy from the multicenter Brain Aging and Cognition in Epilepsy (BrACE) cohort (age=66.10 [SD=6.86], including early-onset (<55 years at seizure onset) and late-onset ([≥]55 years at seizure onset) epilepsy); 362 from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), including cognitively unimpaired (CU) healthy controls and individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or AD dementia. An AD signature was derived from regional cortical thickness and hippocampal volume weighted by their sensitivity to AD-related neurodegeneration in prior work. Associations between the AD signature, epilepsy characteristics, plasma biomarkers ({beta}-amyloid 42/40, phosphorylated tau [pTau217, pTau181], neurofilament light chain [NfL]), and cognition were evaluated in BrACE. Results: Participants with epilepsy demonstrated more AD-like signatures compared to ADNI CU controls ({beta}= -0.43, p<0.001), reflecting reduced thickness/volume in AD-vulnerable regions. This effect was stronger among early-onset ({beta}= -0.57) versus late-onset ({beta}= -0.26) epilepsy. In BrACE, the AD signature correlated with NfL ({beta}= -0.30, p=0.050), memory performance ({beta}= 0.30, p=0.006), and predicted greater odds of cognitive impairment specifically among those with early-onset, but not late-onset, epilepsy (interaction p=0.043). Further, among those with early-onset epilepsy, the AD signature significantly improved identification of cognitive impairment over and beyond the effects of plasma AD biomarkers (p=0.041). Findings were similar when examining the effects of epilepsy duration rather than epilepsy onset age. Discussion: AD neuroimaging signatures may help identify clinically meaningful subgroups among older adults with epilepsy, particularly when integrated with AD biomarkers. Findings support a multimodal framework for assessing AD-related risk in epilepsy and highlight interactive effects of epilepsy chronicity and AD-related processes that can influence cognitive outcomes.
Tzimas, G.; Tchoua, R. B.; Vanghelof, J. C.; Wolfe, R. C.; Cloud, G.; Mahady, S.; Du, L.; Ernst, M. E.; Wood, E. M.; Raicu, D. S.; Ket, S.; Shah, R. C.
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Aim: The global population of older adults is growing, and older age is linked to higher bleeding risk. Although guidelines discourage aspirin for primary prevention in healthy older adults due to bleeding harms outweighing benefits, many continue taking it without a clear indication. It remains unclear whether all older adults face uniform aspirin-related bleeding risk or if certain subgroups are more vulnerable. Methods: We analyzed data from 19,114 ASPREE trial participants to develop machine learning models using 116 baseline variables. Random forest (RF) and random survival forest (RSF) models predicted 5-year bleeding risk, and participants were stratified into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups based on the 20th and 80th percentiles of predicted risk. We assessed heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) by testing treatment-by-risk group interactions on the relative scale using Fine-Gray models, and on the absolute scale using observed 5-year cumulative incidence rates. Results: Over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, 626 major bleeding events occurred. The RF model had moderate discrimination (AUC = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.63-0.67) and good calibration (Brier = 0.032, 95% CI: 0.029-0.034). Statistically significant HTE was observed on the relative scale, with the greatest relative increase in bleeding risk seen in the low-risk group (subdistribution hazard ratio = 2.26, 95% CI: 1.27-4.01). On the absolute scale, low-risk participants experienced higher bleeding with aspirin (absolute risk difference (ARD) = 1.17%, 95% CI: 0.37-1.95), but heterogeneity in ARDs was not statistically significant (Cochran's Q p > 0.45). Similar findings were observed when using the RSF model. Conclusion: Participants at lowest baseline bleeding risk experienced the greatest relative increase in bleeding risk with aspirin therapy. We found statistically significant heterogeneity in treatment effects on the relative but not absolute scale. These findings support an individualized, risk-based approach to aspirin therapy decision-making in older adults.
Qin, P.; Steptoe, A.; Fancourt, D.
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Cultural engagement is associated longitudinally with better mental health and reduced depression incidence, but evidence has largely relied on self-reported symptoms and diagnoses, leaving uncertainty about clinically recorded disorders, and residual confounding remains a concern. Here, we examined whether cultural engagement (including going to cinemas, museums, galleries, exhibitions, theatre, concerts, or opera) predicts hospital-treated mental disorders in 8,274 adults aged 50 years or older from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. Participant records were linked to ICD-10 diagnoses in Hospital Episode Statistics and mortality records with follow-up of up to 20 years. In fully adjusted Cox models accounting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and social factors and multiple testing, frequent cultural engagement was associated with lower risk of any mental disorders (HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.82, FDR adjusted P value<0.001), dementia (0.71, 0.56-0.89, FDR adjusted P value=0.010), substance misuse (0.75, 0.59-0.95,FDR adjusted P value=0.040), and mood disorders (0.73, 0.56-0.95, FDR adjusted P value=0.044), but not neurotic disorders. Associations persisted after excluding early incident cases and adjusting for baseline depressive symptoms and cognition, and showed robustness to unmeasured confounders. To further probe causality, eye disease, ear disease, and traumatic brain injury, which share similar socio-demographic profiles to mental disorders, were prespecified as negative control outcomes. Cultural engagement was not associated with any negative control outcomes. These findings provide triangulated statistical data to suggest that cultural engagement is associated with reduced risk of several clinically recorded mental disorders and support further testing of cultural engagement as a population mental health strategy.
Muddiman, R.; Donoghue, P.; Gomez Lemus, J.; Doherty, A. S.; Boland, F.; McCarthy, C.; Moriarty, F.
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Purpose In deprescribing studies, a prescription-free gap is typically used to determine if patients discontinued their treatment. An appropriate gap depends on the typical time between prescriptions during continued use. This work aims to characterise the interval between prescriptions of chronic drugs using different methods for a cohort of older people in primary care in Ireland. Methods The empirical prescription interval was analysed for 38,154 patients for the twenty most common drug classes and the association between covariates and the interval was analysed using a multi-level model. Estimates were also compared to those obtained from the parametric waiting time distribution (pWTD) approach. Results Available covariates had consistent relationships with prescription intervals across drug classes. For example, each additional prescription issue was associated with an increase in the interval by 5.0 (NSAIDs) to 19.7 days ("Other antidepressants"). Full public health cover was associated with a -29.0 day (inhaled adrenergics) to -11.0 day (opioids) change relative to partial cover, while other/private cover had a -17.9 day (benzodiazepines and associated drugs) to -7.1 day (SSRI and SNRIs) change relative to partial cover. The pWTD also produced consistent estimates of the population interval for most drugs. Conclusions The interval varied substantially within drug classes, due to a mixture of patient, practice and unmodelled factors. Variation between practices was effectively explained, with residual variation between patients and within patients. The pWTD approach is useful for describing complex distributions of intervals, and may be more appropriate for inferring a gap than summarising truncated data.
Ruffini, N.; Fischer, F. U.; Subirana Slotos, R.; Goschke, J.; Scholz, L.; Knaepen, K.; Huettelmaier, S.; Morrison, H.; Steffan, T.; Pabst, A.-S.; Winter, J.; Baier, B.; Mierau, A.; Binder, H.; Drzezga, A.; Teipel, S.; Fellgiebel, A.; Endres, K.; Tuescher, O.
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Background: While genetic factors strongly influence brain aging trajectories, variants conferring cognitive resilience remain poorly characterized. The neurokinin-3 receptor (NK3-R), encoded by Tachykinin Receptor 3 (TACR3), modulates cholinergic signaling in memory circuits vulnerable to aging. Previous studies linked the non-WT expression of the TACR3 variant rs2765 with cognitive decline and reduced volume of the hippocampus and basal forebrain, but systematic replication and mechanistic validation were lacking. Methods: We investigated rs2765 in the preregistered AgeGain cohort of cognitively healthy older adults (n=188) with independent validation in the ADNI cohort (n=809) which includes persons with and without Alzheimers Disease (AD) that show healthy cognition, mild cognitive impairment or dementia. Analyses integrated structural neuroimaging, longitudinal cognitive assessments, epigenetic aging (PhenoAge), genome-wide methylation profiling, and mechanistic validation through luciferase assays and cross-species protein expression studies. Results: The infrequent protective rs2765 WT variant, found in 12.8% of Europeans, conferred 49% slower cognitive decline (p = 0.002) for amyloid-positive individuals of the ADNI cohort and 3.7 years younger epigenetic age (p = 0.013, 95% CI: 0.79-6.67 years) in the cognitively healthy AgeGain cohort. WT carriers showed larger hippocampal and basal forebrain volumes across cohorts, with Allen Brain Atlas integration revealing these outcomes to occur exclusively in regions where TACR3 expression positively correlated with gray matter volume. Mechanistically, the non-WT variant ameliorated RBMX-mediated post-transcriptional regulation, reducing NK3-R protein expression by 25-40% in vitro and ex vivo murine brain slice models. Senescence-accelerated mice exhibited reduced endogenous NK3-R expression, phenocopying the predicted functional consequences of the variant. In AgeGain participants, genome-wide methylation profiling identified 2,313 differentially methylated CpGs affecting 228 pathways spanning glutamatergic signaling, acetylcholine receptor pathways, chromatin remodeling, and angiogenesis, suggesting coordinated molecular reprogramming from synaptic function to systemic aging. Conclusions: rs2765 WT confers resilience to age- and AD-related cognitive decline through RBMX-dependent regulation of NK3-R expression, with effects of remarkable size cascading from memory to systemic aging. rs2765 genotyping could stratify individuals for NK3-R modulator therapy (e.g., fezolinetant or senktides) and identify those maintaining function despite pathological burden, complementing APOE-based risk assessment in precision geromedicine.
Fieggen, J.; Simond, G.; Segal, B. M.; Noori, A.; Thakurta, A.; Butler, C. C.; Clifton, D. A.; Clifton, L.
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Background. Blood-based biomarkers are increasingly proposed for identifying high-risk individuals before clinical disease and for making prevention-oriented trials more efficient. Prognostic enrichment can increase event rates, but trial efficiency also depends on whether the intervention effect is preserved in the enriched population. Methods. Using the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, we trained disease-specific proteomic risk scores (ProRS) from 2,916 plasma proteins with elastic-net Cox models. We compared ProRS, polygenic risk scores (PRS), and combined PRS--ProRS scores across ten incident diseases. We estimated cumulative incidence and theoretical two-arm time-to-event trial sample sizes across risk strata. To evaluate effect preservation, we examined six intervention-analogue exposure--outcome pairs spanning genetic (PCSK9/coronary artery disease, APOE/Alzheimer's disease, PPARG/type 2 diabetes, IL23R/Crohn's disease), behavioural (physical activity/all-cause mortality), and pharmacological (RAAS inhibitors versus calcium channel blockers/coronary artery disease) examples. Results. ProRS outperformed PRS for 9 of 10 diseases (median C-index 0.75 versus 0.61). ProRS and PRS were weakly correlated (median Pearson |r| = 0.04), and joint PRS--ProRS stratification identified groups with higher observed incidence than either score alone for several endpoints. In the top risk quartile, combined-score enrichment reduced theoretical required sample sizes by 32--74\% under a fixed 20\% relative hazard reduction. These gains were not always preserved when stratum-specific intervention-analogue effects were used. Effects were broadly preserved for APOE/Alzheimer's disease and physical activity/mortality. The PPARG/type 2 diabetes effect attenuated toward the null under all three score types, showing that event-rate enrichment does not guarantee effect preservation. For IL23R/Crohn's disease and the antihypertensive comparison, point estimates differed across score types -- preserved under polygenic but attenuated under proteomic enrichment -- but confidence intervals were wide and overlapping. Conclusions. Proteomic risk scores can identify high-event-rate populations for prevention-oriented trials, but event-rate enrichment alone is insufficient for trial design. Biomarker-guided enrichment should evaluate mechanism-specific effect preservation and may be preferable as a stratification or adaptive-design variable rather than as a restrictive eligibility criterion.
Fu, F.; Wei, A.; Wang, G.; Fang, S.; Chen, J.; Liu, W.; Liu, H.; Gao, X.; Lei, Y.; Guo, N.; Chen, M.; Yu, J.; Wang, Y.; Li, S.; Mao, Y.; Yan, L.
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Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.
Addepalli, V. r.; Rao, P.; Kiselica, A.; Kummerfeld, E.; Abdalnabi, N.; Lee, K.
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Monitoring activities of daily living (ADLs) in the home is a promising approach for tracking dementia progression in older adults. While ambient sensor-based ADL systems are well-studied, most existing ADL recognition systems rely on globally trained models that ignore the spatial organization of in-home activities. In real deployments, where training data are sparse and highly home-specific, global transformer models may fail to capture room-dependent behavioral structure. We propose a deterministic Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture for in-home ADL recognition, in which each expert is a compact transformer specialized to one room of the home (bedroom, kitchen, bathroom, living area). Input segments are routed using a deterministic gating strategy based on room-level motion activity and time-of-day priors for sleep-related behaviors. Unlike learned routing networks, the proposed gate encodes domain knowledge about where ADLs are likely to occur, reducing model complexity under limited per-home training data. By decomposing ADL recognition into room-specific activity spaces, the proposed architecture reduces competition between dominant and low-frequency activities under highly imbalanced residential data. We evaluated the system on data collected via low-cost ambient sensors (motion, light, temperature, humidity) and Raspberry Pi edge devices across five homes, with ground-truth ADL labels provided by participants and caregivers. Across the five homes, the proposed MoE consistently outperformed global transformer, 1D CNN, and Random Forest baselines, achieving macro-F1 scores ranging from 0.60 to 0.88, highlighting the importance of home-specific modeling in real-world deployments. These findings suggest that room-aware expert specialization may provide a practical and interpretable strategy for low-data ADL recognition in real-world residential environments.
So, I.; Lombardi, J.; Staffaroni, A. M.; Coleman, K.; Bouzigues, A.; Ferry-Bolder, E.; Cullen, E.; Russell, L.; Foster, P.; Farley, S.; Convery, R.; van Swieten, J. C.; Jiskoot, L. C.; Seelaar, H.; Galimberti, D.; Vandenberghe, R.; Laforce, R.; Bruffaerts, R.; Bertoux, M.; Lebouvier, T.; Solje, E.; Levin, J.; di Fede, G.; Thompson, A.; Le Ber, I.; Migliaccio, R. L.; Kortvelyessy, P.; Schroeter, M. L.; Logroscino, G.; Otto, M.; Uzelac, Z.; Illan-Gala, I.; Kruger, J.; Nacmias, B.; Gerhard, A.; Langheinrich, T.; Ducharme, S.; Santana, I. J.; Tartaglia, C.; Masellis, M.; de Mendonca, A.; Rowe, J.;
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Background and Objectives: Converging evidence hints at neurodevelopmental effects in genetic frontotemporal degeneration (FTD). In cross-sectional studies, for some genes, young adult FTD variant carriers show differences in brain volumes and cognition compared to familial non-carriers. However, longitudinal trajectories may more sensitively capture FTD-related neurodevelopmental vs. neurodegenerative changes than cross-sectional approaches. This study examined longitudinal trajectories of brain volumes, executive function, and plasma biomarkers in young adult carriers compared to familial non-carriers, as measures of neurodevelopmental and neurodegenerative outcomes of FTD-causing variants. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study comprised participants, aged 18-30 years, from the FTD Prevention Initiative across Europe, Canada, and the USA. Genetic groups included C9orf72 (47%), MAPT (30%), and GRN (23%). Linear mixed-effects models were computed to assess longitudinal outcomes across age between groups, controlling for sex, scanner (for brain volumes), and education (for executive function); random effects accounted for between-subject variability nested within family membership. Results: Variant carriers (n=147) and familial non-carriers (n=113) did not differ in age (mean{+/-}SD, 25.9{+/-}3.2 years), sex (53% female), or number of visits (2.1{+/-}1.7). Young adult C9orf72 repeat expansion carriers exhibited smaller thalamic volumes than non-carriers at the reference age of 26 years (b=-982.8mm3, SE=317.0, p=0.0046, f2=0.32), with relatively stable trajectories across ages 18-30 (i.e., no change over time). Trajectories of rostral anterior cingulate volumes differed in C9orf72 carriers and non-carriers across age, where carriers showed relatively stable trajectories and non-carriers showed age-appropriate declines (b=64.4mm3, SE=29.9, p=0.035, f2=0.07). For MAPT and GRN, there were little to no differences in total brain, cortical, or subcortical volumes between groups and over time. No longitudinal differences were observed between carriers and non-carriers in executive function, or plasma NfL or GFAP for any genetic group. Discussion: C9orf72 repeat expansions were linked to smaller average thalamic volumes and stable trajectories between ages 18 to 30, supporting potential neurodevelopmental origins. The modest evidence supporting an absence of difference in neurodegenerative biomarkers and executive function suggests minimal early neurodegeneration and functional preservation in young adulthood.
yang, q.; yu, j.; zhao, h.; zou, m.; sun, y.
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This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the prevalence of alcohol use and its sociodemographic correlates among adults with cardiovascular disease (CVD). We analyzed data from two large US cohorts: the All of Us Research Program (2017-2023) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2016). Both CVD diagnosis and past-year alcohol consumption were self-reported. Risky drinking was defined as exceeding moderate drinking or binge drinking (All of Us), or moderate/heavy drinking (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression was used to exam associations with sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Among 32,788 current drinkers with CVD in the All of Us cohort, 15% exceeded moderate drinking thresholds and 26% reported binge drinking. Older age, female sex, and higher socioeconomic status were inversely associated with risky drinking, while smoking was positively associated. In NHANES, moderate drinking rose from 47.3% to 57.2% and heavy drinking from 6.7% to 7.2%. Moderate/heavy drinking was positively associated with age <65 but inversely with age [≥]65. Higher education and income were linked to moderate drinking, while current smoking was strongly associated with heavy drinking. These results highlight the need to integrate holistic screening for alcohol use, tobacco use, and social context into routine cardiovascular care.
Schmill, P.; Hudson, J.; Greenwood, S.; Chilcot, J.
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Background: Psychological distress is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with reduced quality of life, treatment non-adherence, and worse clinical outcomes. Distress in CKD is also linked to difficulties adjusting to the demands of illness management. Despite this, psychological support remains inconsistently integrated within kidney care pathways, and existing interventions often lack clear theoretical specification and explicit targeting of mechanisms underpinning adjustment to CKD. Objectives: To describe the systematic development of iADJUST, a theory-informed patient co-designed digital psychological intervention targeting key cognitive and behavioural mechanisms involved in adjustment to CKD. Methods: Intervention development was guided by the Medical Research Council framework for complex interventions. A structured, iterative process integrated empirical evidence, psychological theory, and patient and public involvement and engagement. The Common-Sense Model of Self-Regulation and cognitive behavioural theories informed the identification of modifiable maintaining mechanisms associated with adjustment to CKD. Intervention components were mapped onto these mechanisms and refined through co-design with people living with CKD. Results: iADJUST is a six-session self-guided digital psychological intervention delivered over 12 weeks and supplemented by therapist contact. The intervention targets illness-related uncertainty, fatigue-related activity dysregulation, catastrophic what-if thinking, self-critical evaluation, and behavioural withdrawal. It integrates psychoeducation, cognitive and behavioural strategies, maintenance planning, and elements from acceptance and commitment therapy and compassion-focused approaches. Content is delivered through video, audio, and guided tasks and activities. Conclusion: iADJUST provides a theory-informed, evidence-based psychological intervention for CKD explicitly mapping intervention components to maintaining cognitive and behavioural mechanisms implicated in adjustment. Feasibility evaluation is underway.
Balogun, W. G.; Zeng, X.; Nafash, M. N.; Sehrawat, A.; Shi, R.; Svirsky, S. E.; Okonkwo, D. O.; Puccio, A. M.; Karikari, T. K.
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Brain-derived tau (BD-tau) is an emerging blood-based biomarker for neurodegeneration, yet there are currently limited well validated BD-tau assays available for research and clinical use. To enhance access to this vital biomarker for neurological disorders including traumatic brain injury (TBI), we developed a novel blood-based immunoassay for BD-tau on the ultra-sensitive Quanterix HD-X platform using Single Molecule Array technology. Analytical validation assessed dilution linearity, specificity, precision, detection limits, and spike recovery, each recording robust metrics in agreement with international expert recommendations. The assay demonstrated robust validation metrics, achieving between-run stability of 95% when analyzing aliquots from six independent plasma and serum samples across five analytical runs. It also showed strong dilution linearity when diluted four-fold and achieved over 90% recovery when spiked with cerebrospinal fluid. Next, we evaluated the clinical utility of the assay in cohorts of individuals with traumatic brain injury (TBI), where strong performances were recorded whether using the 2-step or 3-step assay formats ({rho}= 0.94; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, plasma BD-tau distinguished samples from TBI patients based on time from injury and severity (AUC=0.93). Plasma BD-tau differentiated between favorable and unfavorable functional outcomes in the acute-severe group. Our findings underscore the significant potential of the BD-tau assay as a biomarker for TBI in the severe phase.
Bunker, A. L.; Engelberg, R. A.; Holloway, R. G.; Creutzfeldt, C. J.
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INTRODUCTION Severe acute brain injury (stroke, traumatic brain injury or hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy; SABI) is increasingly recognized as a chronic condition with care and communication needs beyond the initial hospitalization. This study aimed to characterize post-acute care patterns among SABI survivors, focusing on healthcare utilization and outpatient communication. METHODS Data were collected from a prospective cohort of hospitalized SABI patients using surveys, chart reviews, and the ED Information Exchange database. Socioeconomic disadvantage was assessed using the Area Deprivation Index (ADI), and qualitative analysis of outpatient notes examined conversations around palliative care needs and goals-of-care. RESULTS Two-thirds of patients (140/222) survived until discharge, primarily to nursing facilities (39%) or inpatient rehabilitation (38%). Among 109 with one-year follow-up, there were 89 hospitalizations, 104 ED visits, and 28 deaths. Patients from the most disadvantaged neighborhoods had significantly higher odds of rehospitalization or ED use within 30 days (OR 3.37, p=0.036). ADI was not linked to one-year utilization. seen outpatient by primary care (40%), neurology/neurosurgery (57%), and palliative care (1%), but conversations rarely revisited prognosis or goals-of-care. CONCLUSIONS Our findings highlight the need for improved long-term care planning and communication, particularly for socioeconomically disadvantaged survivors of SABI.